This weekend, we’ve got a PPV card in Atlanta. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to win a lot of cash from this week and I can not wait to chase these huge prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will try to get my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw 100 or so entries at that $30k decoration, and then I will probably have a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the first thing I did when salaries were released. I put both of these fighters in my cash lineup and I began building from there. I anticipate this to be among the greatest fights ever and I think we get ~200 complete DK points from this struggle, and the guaranteed win. I am okay with taking the loss when I can assure myself over 100 issues together with the pile, but I think 150 is a secure projection for this fight and if we can lock up 3 other wins we should win the vast majority of our cash games. Like I always saywe don’t need 6 wins for money games so there is really no need to pursue it. Only lock in a safe lineup that you think will score over 400 total points and you should acquire more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP drama of the week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP play of the week since he is the definition of bust or boom. He either loses or scores more than 100 DK points. That is what we desire in GPPs. This is not a confident pick in him winning it is just a shot at his ceiling which is what we look for in the big GPPs where we are attempting to acquire the top $30k prize. Krylov has finished all 24 of his own wins and he’s just seen the 3rd round once in his career. This is a great struggle to target on either side, but I am taking Krylov for the win and I have a good amount of exposure to him this weekend.
Underdog drama of this week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I had to put Poirier here. I love his floor and I think he’s a live underdog. However, IF he wins, he will 100% wind up on the 1st place lineup at his 7.1k price-tag. He is going to score over 100 DK points when he can find a victory here and that’s what we are pursuing in GPPs. Even in the event that you think Max is going to dominate Poirier I think you ought to have at least 1 hedge lineup utilizing Poirier, and this is an all-purpose struggle for me. Every lineup I construct will begin with Dustin or Max and I’ll go on from there. Load up on this battle and make sure you find any Poirier exposure.
Fade of the week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was hard to select a fade of this week this week since I believe that you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to pick a popular though and I feel that the favorite with one of those lower ceilings is Salmon. I’m picking him to win but he will not be heading for almost any takedowns and when he doesn’t get a finish that he probably does not pay off his $8.6k price tag. I want at least 10x (86-points) if I’m rostering somebody and I don’t see him getting that unless he gets a knockout. Taha is hard so that I don’t see the knockout happening. I believe Salmon does get a unanimous decision win here but it likely scores in the 70’s which will not win us the big $30k. That’s why he is my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 66-41 to get +220.23un (+$22,023) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
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